It’s May 29 around 4:00 PM Eastern Standard Time and the jury has begun its deliberations. While the country holds its collective breath we at “anotherview” will create the spoiler forecast. Let’s quickly review. Donald Trump was charged with concealing information that could have impacted the results of the 2016 presidential election. After the witnesses have testified and all relevant documentation entered as State’s Exhibits we recognize three possible outcomes: acquittal, conviction (on one or more counts) and a hung jury. With all the evidence and the New York venue it is highly unlikely that Trump will be acquitted. Also, it is unlikely that he will be found guilty on all counts. That leaves us with two realistic conclusions. Either he will be found guilty on some of the counts or we will see a hung jury–no decision. Four comments:
- First, we are disappointed that the prosecution failed to display how close the 2016 election really was. If just four “in-play” states had 132,000 voters switch to Hilary Clinton because of the Stormy Daniels and Karen McDougal “catch-and-kill” information, Hilary Clinton would have been elected. In addition to these 4 states, several other close state counts made it possible that Ms. Clinton could have pulled off a “landslide” victory. Keep in mind how Trump and the January 6th rioters shouted that the 2020 election was stolen as you see how–by hiding adulterous behavior and a 10 month affair with a Playboy Playmate–the election in 2016 could easily be considered as “stolen”. Hope Hicks and others saw the adultery angle as a Category 4 hurricane or worse. The Trump campaign managers viewed his sexual jaunts as a “death blow” and right before the 2016 cast-your-ballot date. We wonder why the prosecution did not demonstrate how ONLY 132,000 votes out of nearly 15 million cast in just 4 states would have produced a different presidential election result.
- Second, Trump’s conviction for committing this crime under the New York penal code allows for incarceration when a single count is involved. If Trump is convicted of multiple counts (he’s charged with 34 counts) he should be imprisoned for a minimum of 18 to 36 months. Each count carries a 1 to 4 year sentence option. When an individual is convicted of multiple infractions he certainly deserves to be jailed. If a multiple counts conviction doesn’t warrant jailing, what does?
- Third, if Trump has “gotten” to any jury members–either through threats or bribery–and the jury cannot decide-a hung jury- then we suggest the State of New York immediately be prepared to initiate a second jury pool as a preamble to a second trial. The District Attorney has every right to pursue justice–especially in this case. While Trump’s attorneys will scream “election interference” because a second trial will prevent him from fully campaigning, the law has been twisted to Trump’s advantage in other pending cases. In Florida, an incompetent and biased judge refuses to pursue an open-and-shut classified documents case. In Georgia, his attorneys are seeking removal of Fani Willis, the prosecuting attorney, in his election interference case. And in Washington DC, his attorneys argue for “total immunity” from ALL crimes before the Supreme Court. Our point: Mr. Trump freely uses the legal sword when he thinks he can benefit so he can’t be allowed to object when the New York DA exercises his judgment to seek justice.
- Finally, Trump knows this trial is his last hurrah. While he tries to portray the image of a victim of a political witch hunt, his shrinking base will see more deserters if he is convicted. The polls show a small but growing number of GOP supporters vowing to withhold their votes or even choose Biden if Trump lands in jail. It will be difficult for any true patriot to vote for a presidential candidate who sits in a cell and may not be able to (1) vote for himself as a convicted felon or (2) be able to attend his own inauguration–if elected. So–what’s the point in voting for him?
WE ARE PREDICTING THAT TRUMP WILL BE CONVICTED ON MORE THAN ONE BUT NOT ALL 34 COUNTS AND THAT HE WILL BE SOMEHOW PHYSICALLY RESTRICTED AS PART OF HIS SENTENCING. HE HID RELEVANT INFORMATION FROM THE AMERICAN PEOPLE IN 2016. WE BELIEVE THAT THERE IS NO DOUBT THAT REVEALING HIS ADULTERY WOULD HAVE ALIENATED MORE THAN ENOUGH VOTERS IN MANY STATES AND GIVEN HILARY CLINTON THE PRESIDENCY. THE ONLY WAY TRUMP CAN ESCAPE CONVICTION IS BY THREATS OR BRIBERY TO ONE OR MORE OF THE JURORS. CASE CLOSED.
POSTSCRIPT: Anticipating a guilty verdict should demand precautionary steps. Violence must be expected in retaliation. If jailing is a possibility, Trump may very well try to flee the country and take with him innumerable military secrets that he could use to ingratiate himself to Russia, North Korea or some other dangerous adversary. Steps should be taken to prevent him from jeopardizing the entire free world (America and our allies). Security must be upgraded for all politicians who are seen as anti-Trumpers. The events of the last seven years have constructed a minefield of concerns. The post-trial period must be guarded so that eventually America can return to some reasonable level of normalcy. Total preparation for all eventualities may be impossible but we must prepare on a worst case scenario basis. We are a nation of weapons in the hands of unstable bad actors. Let’s be ready!!!
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