Ok, buckle up–this is a “left field” view. The Trump arrest and bail situation caught our attention. Specifically, the decision to use a commercial bail bond agent to put up the $200,000 bail required in Georgia. The TV “talking heads” are speculating that Mr. Trump might have a cash flow problem. But it is difficult to accept that theory when his Political Action Committees are forking over $40 million for his criminal defense and even more for some of his co-defendants. When you blend in the comments of Michael Cohen (who admittedly has lied in the past) that Mr. Trump is scared XXXX-less by the prospect of incarceration it causes us to wonder about the bond posting source. Allow yourself to think outside the box for just a minute. Trump has thousands (if not millions) of dollars coming in daily and the $200,000 bond amount is chump change. But it represents a government he contends is corrupt and engaging in a simple political “witch hunt”. So–we think–he defies the logic of handing over a bail bond as required by that corrupt and ridiculous charge by using an outside agent. Is it possible that Mr. Trump is saying “I’m not giving those people a dime of my money but I’m willing to risk a bail bondsman’s funds in case I choose to “jump bail”–forfeiting the $200,000 bail? Consider the mounting number of charges, the legal calendar complications, the mountain of evidence, the real danger that one or more of his inner circle will flip to save themselves and their future. All these factors strongly suggest that he will face jail time to some degree. Now consider his options. He has adequate PAC funds available for him to live comfortably outside the US. He has a pending deal with Putin of some future real estate development. We know this because Jared Kushner accepted a $2 billion advance from Russia sometime in the recent past. If you were Trump and would be welcomed with open arms in Russia for both your commercial and political value versus the possibility of US imprisonment and the dismal end of a political–and possibly commercial career (no bank would lend money to him going forward)–what would you choose? Add in to your consideration the rumor that Trump is selling Mar-A-Lago for $442 million. Scenario: as the noose tightens, Trump boards his private mansion jet with $500 million, flies to Russia and sets up shop with Putin protection for life. At the beginning we said “buckle up” and now you know why. Imagine all the White House/high level information he could provide Putin. Let’s see how this drama plays out.

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